Note that Michigan’s position is slightly different because the Big Ten is still in regular season play. Even if swept by Penn State this weekend, the Wolverines would still have an additional game in the Big Ten tournament to either climb or fall. That worst possible outcome this weekend could drop Michigan as low as #12, from which another loss could push them out of position for an at-large bid.
Source: Jim Dahl’s College Hockey Ranked – A place for college hockey PWR and RPI
HV Note: What’s unsaid here, but discussed in my bracketology post yesterday, is that Penn State sweeping Michigan puts PSU right back into the NCAA field (we’d likely be either #13 or #14 in the pairwise). In that post, I also agreed with Dahl’s assessment that Michigan would be in danger of missing the tournament with a complete collapse.